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18 April 2019 (AFR) – How to position your portfolio for recession

(18 April 2019, AFR, p58, Mark Draper) ‘Investors should pay attention to the next few months of leading economic indicators, and position their investments accordingly. With the graphs of leading Australian economic indicators taking on the shape of a waterfall, investors would be wise to dust off the play book about how to invest in … Continue reading

18 April 2019 (AFR) – Can the 2019 equity boom last? – Markets return to ‘assisted living’ as investors shun rally

(18 April 2019, AFR, p46,  Patrick Commins) ‘After the best start to Aussie shares since 1991, investors are wondering whether this heralds a new beginning or the restart of an old, unwelcome trend. It might not feel like it, but the start of 2019 has witnessed a boom of historical proportions on the ASX. A … Continue reading

25 March 2019 (AFR) – Investors await $10b windfall amid market sell-off

(25 March 2019, AFR, p23, William McInnes) ‘More than $10 billion is set to hit investors’ back pockets this week as Australian companies pay out a record level of dividends to their investors. Eighty-eight companies will return money to their shareholders this week, the biggest week in a bumper two months for dividend-hungry shareholders.’ Read more … Continue reading

23 March 2019 (AFR) – US stocks fall amid hints of slowing growth

(23 March 2019, AFR online, Vildana Hajric and Sarah Ponczek) ‘New York | US equities ended the week lower and Treasuries rose amid more signals that global growth is slowing. The US dollar advanced against most major currencies, while the three-month/10-year yield curve inverted for the first time since 2007. Despite a dovish turn by … Continue reading

23 March 2019 (AFR) – ASX rallies as Fed spurs Wall St

(23 March 2019, AFR, p23, Vesna Poljak) ‘The bull market is back on track after Wall Street decided the US Federal Reserve’s decision to remove all expectations of interest rate hikes in 2019 is positive for shares, setting off a rally in Australian stocks on Friday. Investors now turn to two critical catalysts for shares … Continue reading

15 March 2019 (AFR,Bloomberg) – China insiders are selling stakes after mammoth share rally

(15 March 2019, AFR, p28, Bloomberg) ‘Some Chinese executives and large shareholders are cashing out of their companies’ stocks after an explosive start to the year for the nation’s equity market, raising doubts over the sustainability of the rally. Among them was telecom equipment maker ZTE Corp, whose Shenzhen-listed shares had soared 59 per cent … Continue reading

14 March 2019 (AFR) – Will the next financial crisis be as bad as the last one?

(14 March 2019, AFR, p27, Patrick Commins) ‘The world has borrowed an extra $US66 trillion since 2008, when a global financial meltdown triggered a “great recession” in the United States and brought the world economy down. The total global debt pile sits at $US178 trillion ($252.2 trillion) as at the middle of last year, an … Continue reading

14 March 2019 (TheAge) – $20 million missing: Broker’s client money used to cover losses

(14 March 2019, The Age, Business, p26, By Sarah Danckert) ‘One of Australia’s largest brokers, Halifax Investment Management, is set to head into liquidation after administrators discovered that some of the $210 million of client money was used to cover off losses on bad bets on investment products by other clients. Investigations by administrators from … Continue reading

13 March 2019 (AFR) – The final kick in Shoes of Prey collapse for Blue Sky backers

(13 March 2019, AFR, p16, Jonathan Shapiro) ‘Investors in a Blue Sky fund that backed start-up Shoes of Prey are set to lose all their money, including a portion of the $1 million in management fees that were paid five years in advance. On Monday, Blue Sky told investors in its Blue Sky Private Equity … Continue reading

11 March 2019 (AFR) – Mega super funds will make ASX less relevant says ex-Schroders chief Greg Cooper

(11 March 2019, AFR, p1, Joanna Mather, Jemima Whyte and Jonathan Shapiro) ‘Super funds are set to threaten the role of the Australian sharemarket as they grow larger under the weight of trillions of dollars of funds and move to take full ownership of companies rather than invest in them through shares. The biggest super … Continue reading

8 March 2019 (AFR) – ASX behind the scenes: Transitions dominate equities desks, dealing rooms

[COMMENT: Now this is some interesting behind-the-scenes reporting regarding share trading in the equity market, and some of the things that happen away from the retail share traders and investors.] (8 March 2019, AFR, p17, Sarah Thompson and Anthony Macdonald) ‘It’s the week after Australia’s interim results season and focus on equities desks and in … Continue reading

5 March 2019 (AFR) – Almost every Australian equity fund lagged the market last year

(5 March 2019, AFR, p29, Patrick Commins) ‘Almost nine in 10 actively managed mainstream Australian equity funds failed to beat the market last year, according to the latest figures from S&P Dow Jones Indices. The SPIVA scorecard is promoted by S&P as the “de facto scorekeeper of the ongoing active versus passive debate”, and surveys … Continue reading

2 March 2019 (AFR) – Death of the defensive stocks will reshape investor portfolios

(2 March 2019, AFR, p22, by James Thomson and Jonathan Shapiro) ‘The least important lesson investors could take from Warren Buffett’s billion-dollar loss on his investment in Kraft-Heinz is that even the greatest can get things wrong. This is much more than a story about Kraft-Heinz shares falling 25 per cent in a day – … Continue reading

1 March 2019 (TheAge) – ASX: Hayne report helps ASX to best month since 2016

(1 March 2019, The Age, Business, p25, by William McInnes) ‘Australian shares recorded their biggest monthly percentage gain since July 2016 in February, as positive earnings and a better-than-anticipated royal commission report boosted the local sharemarket. The S&P/ASX 200 Index closed the month 304.4 points, or 5.2 per cent, higher at 6169 while the broader … Continue reading

27 Feb 2019 (TheAge,SMH) – Top-10 tips for not losing money in the share market

(27 February 2019, The Age, MONEY supplement, p2, by Marcus Padley) ‘You don’t have to be a genius to work out that if only we could avoid the losses, we would all be winners. The first rule of making money in the share market is not to lose it. So here are my top-10 tips … Continue reading

27 Feb 2019 (AFR) – How commodity price action can help investors cut through the noise

(27 February 2019, AFR, p23, Michael McCarthy) ‘Many investors are surprised that key resource stocks BHP and Rio Tinto are trading at or near their highest share prices since the global financial crisis (GFC). Both individual and institutional investors are generally underweight in these stocks. The prevailing market narrative has Europe on the verge of … Continue reading

26 Feb 2019 (TheAge) – Appen rockets on ‘mega trend’ of artificial intelligence

(26 February 2019, The Age, Business, p27, by Cara Waters and Lucy Battersby) ‘Shares in the search and language dataset company Appen rocketed on Monday on the back of its full-year results driven by the “mega trend” of artificial intelligence. Appen’s revenue increased 120 per cent to $364 million and underlying post-tax profit increased 148 per … Continue reading

26 Feb 2019 (TheAge) – Former AFL player loses $160m as GetSwift sinks on legal action

(26 February 2019, The Age, Business, p27, by Colin Kruger) ‘GetSwift shares tested record lows as the market reacted to Friday’s late news that the company and two of its executives, Bane Hunter and former Melbourne Football Club player Joel Macdonald, had been sued by the corporate regulator. GetSwift said it would vigorously defend itself against … Continue reading

25 Feb 2019 (AFR) – Kraft Heinz shares dive 27 pc and shake confidence across the sector

(25 February 2019, AFR, p19, by Alistair Gray and Leila Abboud) ‘Shares in Kraft Heinz dived 27 per cent on Friday as Wall Street reacted with alarm to a “disastrous” update in which the company took a $US15 billion writedown and disclosed it was the subject of a probe by the Securities and Exchange Commission … Continue reading

25 Feb 2019 (AFR) – Nearmap soars as US growth takes flight

(25 February 2019, AFR, p15, by Yolanda Redrup) ‘Impressed by aerial imaging company Nearmap’s ability to make headway in the sizeable US market, investors have pushed the company’s shares up 70 per cent already this year. The company, which was trading at $2.55 on Friday, soared past the $1 billion market cap milestone this month … Continue reading

22 Feb 2019 (AFR) – Rate-cut chatter boosts ASX

(22 February 2019, AFR, p30, by William McInnes) ‘Australian shares ended a volatile day of a trading higher on Thursday as earnings, labour force figures and additional talk of rate cuts swayed the market throughout the day. The S&P/ASX 200 Index closed the day 42.7 points, or 0.7 per cent, higher at 6139.2, while the … Continue reading

16 Feb 2019 (AFR) – Reporting season: Earnings boost fund managers’ optimism

(16 February 2019, AFR, p22, by Sarah Turner and Vesna Poljak) ‘Solid trading updates and signs of stability in financial conditions have investors feeling more confident about the earnings outlook for Australian companies. “Reporting season is 37 per cent of the way through by market cap and so far most of the results are in … Continue reading

16 Feb 2019 (AFR) – ASX: Weaker earnings outlook pushes ASX lower

(16 February 2019, AFR, p33, by William McInnes) ‘Australian shares closed the week lower after a major week of earnings saw a number of weaker outlook statements weigh on investor sentiment. The S&P/ASX 200 Index closed 5.4 points, or 0.1 per cent, lower for the week at 6066.1 while the broader All Ordinaries actually rose … Continue reading

13 Feb 2019 (TheAge) – Nearly $60 million in customer money mixed up at collapsed broker

(13 February 2019, The Age, Business, p25, by Sarah Danckert) ‘Administrators picking through the wreckage of one of the country’s largest online broking houses Halifax Investment Services, have found that $57 million in money invested by clients has been mixed up with funds belonging to the company. Halifax collapsed before Christmas, freezing $210 million invested … Continue reading

13 Feb 2019 (AFR online) – The 9 bad habits of highly ineffective investors

[COMMENT: Now many people will not necessarily agree with all of the items below (especially the one about timing the market because many of us know that you can), but it is one set of opinions from one ‘expert’. ] (13 February 2019, AFR online, by Shane Oliver) ‘In the upside-down world logic that applies … Continue reading

9 Feb 2019 (AFR) – Banking royal commission: what it means for you

(9 February 2019, AFR, p28, by Nicole Pedersen-McKinnon) ‘Get set for changes to how you pay your financial planner, get a mortgage and what you do with your super when you move jobs.’ ‘One of the few unresolved consumer questions about the royal commission report Kenneth Hayne delivered to the government this week is: “Who … Continue reading

9 Feb 2019 (AFR) – Flash crash: Mrs Watanabe and algorithms crashed the Australian dollar

[COMMENT: Here is an interesting insight into the possible cause of a “flash crash” in the currency back in early January, which has taken quite some time to unravel. And perhaps the bot-traders helped to amplify the problem?] (9 February 2019, AFR, p5, by John Kehoe) ‘At 9:36am on Thursday January 3, financial market traders … Continue reading

8 Feb 2019 (AFR) – Strong earnings lift ASX to four-month high

(8 February 2019, AFR, p30, by William McInnes) ‘The Australian sharemarket closed at a four-month high on Thursday as better-than-expected results were rewarded with strong gains. The S&P/ASX 200 Index rose 66.4 points, or 1.1 per cent, to 6092.5 while the broader All Ordinaries climbed 67.3 points, or 1.1 per cent, to 6159.1. “We’re seeing … Continue reading

6 Feb 2019 (AFR) – Major banks rebound adds $19 billion to ASX

(6 February 2019, AFR, p32, by William McInnes) ‘The Australian sharemarket soared on Tuesday on the back of a rebound from the major banks, recording its biggest single-day gain since November 2016. The S&P/ASX 200 Index closed 114.7 points, or 2 per cent, higher at 6005.9 while the broader All Ordinaries climbed 105 points, or … Continue reading

6 Feb 2019 (TheAge) – Hayne report kicks true reform down the road … again

[COMMENT: Here is a good summary of financial institution disasters in recent years, including the highlighted ones below. But why do they continue to happen, almost cyclically?] (6 February 2019, The Age, p21, by Andrew Linden and Warren Staples) ‘Every 10 to 15 years it’s the same. Since financial deregulation in the 1980s, we’ve had … Continue reading