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1.Market Observations, 2.Economic forecasts, 8.Was Sticky

26 Nov 2018 (AFR) – Positioning for a rate hike pause by the Federal Reserve – Investors getting jittery despite profits

(26 November 2018, AFR, p23, by Timothy Moore)

‘US equity investors have begun to position for a pause in the Federal Reserve’s rate hiking cycle and that’s put the bull market in peril. Despite stellar third-quarter profits across corporate America, the lowest unemployment rate in a generation, an economy expanding faster than its potential and record Black Friday transactions, something clearly is amiss. Investors are rattled and that’s reflected no more clearly in the sudden and sharp drop in the technology stocks that propelled the market’s upward momentum.’ <snipped…>

‘Bank of America Merrill Lynch sees trouble ahead. “We are at a critical juncture where the risks have risen sharply – a pervasive and persistent global downturn, <snipped…>, we think the world may be sleepwalking into a potential landmine.” ‘

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