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1.Market Observations, 8.Was Sticky

2 June 2017 (AFR) – Inverted curve suggests Chinese economy is on slippery slope – Could China be on the verge of a recession?

(2 June 2017, AFR, p14, by Christopher Balding)

China - 1-year bond yield‘For the first time ever, China is facing a dreaded prospect: the inverted bond yield curve. The phenomenon, in which long-term interest rates sink below short-term interest rates, has caused some consternation among market-watchers, who know it’s traditionally a harbinger of recession. The inversion suggests markets expect interest rates to fall eventually as monetary authorities move to stimulate economic activity.’

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