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1.Market Observations

23 Mar 2016 (AFR) – Commodity prices: HSBC answers investors’ top 12 questions

[NOTE: This article does NOT contain any advice. It is merely food for thought as a part of regular research. Always consult a professional adviser before committing…]

(23 March 2016, AFR, p31, by Jessica Sier)

‘After a rough start to the year for commodity prices, investors are bracing for the future. With oil languishing at 12-year lows and iron ore surprising markets with a shock rally, commodities are reacting to new and unusual circumstances. HSBC answers investors’ most common queries about the sector, including whether oil can stage a recovery (yes), whether palm oil demand has slackened off for good (no) and where US LNG exports leave Australia’s major new projects?’

1. Have commodity prices passed the trough?

2. Is the recent oil price rally sustainable?

3. Why did iron ore prices surge recently, and is the rise sustainable?

4. How much is China the driver of commodity prices?

5. How much has the US dollar moved commodity prices?

6. Will the deferral of oil and gas projects affect the prices outlook?

7. The US is going to start exporting LNG. What is that doing to the market balances and to the outlook for pricing?

8. How will lower LNG prices affect the Australian LNG story?

9. Dairy prices are at low levels. Will a supply retreat lift prices?

10. How have recent movements in the Brazilian real affected the outlook for sugar?

11. Palm oil has been oversupplied. How long before this is worked off?

12. Will recent climate agreements lift or lower commodity prices?

Read more at AFR.com (might need AFR login access, or try: AFR.com/trial)

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